Likelihood Based Inference In Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models

Author: Søren Johansen
Publisher: Oxford University Press on Demand
ISBN: 0198774508
Size: 28.61 MB
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This monograph is concerned with the statistical analysis of multivariate systems of non-stationary time series of type I. It applies the concepts of cointegration and common trends in the framework of the Gaussian vector autoregressive model.

Likelihood Based Inference In Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models

Author: Søren Johansen
Publisher: Oxford University Press on Demand
ISBN: 9780198774501
Size: 22.85 MB
Format: PDF
View: 1204
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This monograph is concerned with the statistical analysis of multivariate systems of non-stationary time series of type I. It applies the concepts of cointegration and common trends in the framework of the Gaussian vector autoregressive model.

Likelihood Based Inference In Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models

Author: Søren Johansen
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 9780198774495
Size: 24.31 MB
Format: PDF, ePub
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In this book, Professor Johansen, a leading statistician working in econometrics, gives a detailed mathematical and statistical analysis of the cointegrated vector autoregressive model, which has been gaining in popularity. The book is a self-contained presentation for graduate students and researchers with a good knowledge of multivariate regression analysis and likelihood methods. The theory is treated in detail to give the reader a working knowledge of the techniques involved, and many exercises are provided. The theoretical analysis is illustrated with the empirical analysis of two sets of economic data. The theory has been developed in close contact with the application and the methods have been implemented in the computer package CATS in RATS.

Workbook On Cointegration

Author: Peter Reinhard Hansen
Publisher: Oxford University Press on Demand
ISBN: 9780198776086
Size: 53.56 MB
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This workbook consists of exercises taken from Likelihood-Based Inferences in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models by Soren Johansen, together with worked-out solutions. About the Series Advanced Texts in Econometrics is a distinguished and rapidly expanding series in which leading econometricians assess recent developments in such areas as stochastic probability, panel and time series data analysis, modeling, and cointegration. In both hardback and affordable paperback, each volume explains the nature and applicability of a topic in greater depth than possible in introductory textbooks or single journal articles. Each definitive work is formatted to be as accessible and convenient for those who are not familiar with the detailed primary literature.

Unit Roots Cointegration And Structural Change

Author: G. S. Maddala
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521587822
Size: 42.14 MB
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Time series analysis has undergone many changes in recent years with the advent of unit roots and cointegration. Maddala and Kim present a comprehensive review of these important developments and examine structural change. The volume provides an analysis of unit root tests, problems with unit root testing, estimation of cointegration systems, cointegration tests, and econometric estimation with integrated regressors. The authors also present the Bayesian approach to these problems and bootstrap methods for small-sample inference. The chapters on structural change discuss the problems of unit root tests and cointegration under structural change, outliers and robust methods, the Markov-switching model and Harvey's structural time series model. Unit Roots, Cointegration and Structural Change is a major contribution to Themes in Modern Econometrics, of interest both to specialists and graduate and upper-undergraduate students.

Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis

Author: Lutz Kilian
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108186874
Size: 57.36 MB
Format: PDF
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Structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models are important tools for empirical work in macroeconomics, finance, and related fields. This book not only reviews the many alternative structural VAR approaches discussed in the literature, but also highlights their pros and cons in practice. It provides guidance to empirical researchers as to the most appropriate modeling choices, methods of estimating, and evaluating structural VAR models. The book traces the evolution of the structural VAR methodology and contrasts it with other common methodologies, including dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. It is intended as a bridge between the often quite technical econometric literature on structural VAR modeling and the needs of empirical researchers. The focus is not on providing the most rigorous theoretical arguments, but on enhancing the reader's understanding of the methods in question and their assumptions. Empirical examples are provided for illustration.

Periodic Time Series Models

Author: Philip Hans Franses
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 019924202X
Size: 40.42 MB
Format: PDF, Kindle
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Annotation An insightful and up-to-date study of the use of periodic models in the description and forecasting of economic data. Incorporating recent developments in the field, the authors investigate such areas as seasonal time series; periodic time series models; periodic integration; and periodic cointegration. The analysis from the inclusion of many new empirical examples and results.

Multivariate Reduced Rank Regression

Author: Raja Velu
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1475728530
Size: 40.11 MB
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In the area of multivariate analysis, there are two broad themes that have emerged over time. The analysis typically involves exploring the variations in a set of interrelated variables or investigating the simultaneous relation ships between two or more sets of variables. In either case, the themes involve explicit modeling of the relationships or dimension-reduction of the sets of variables. The multivariate regression methodology and its variants are the preferred tools for the parametric modeling and descriptive tools such as principal components or canonical correlations are the tools used for addressing the dimension-reduction issues. Both act as complementary to each other and data analysts typically want to make use of these tools for a thorough analysis of multivariate data. A technique that combines the two broad themes in a natural fashion is the method of reduced-rank regres sion. This method starts with the classical multivariate regression model framework but recognizes the possibility for the reduction in the number of parameters through a restrietion on the rank of the regression coefficient matrix. This feature is attractive because regression methods, whether they are in the context of a single response variable or in the context of several response variables, are popular statistical tools. The technique of reduced rank regression and its encompassing features are the primary focus of this book. The book develops the method of reduced-rank regression starting from the classical multivariate linear regression model.

Markov Switching Vector Autoregressions

Author: Hans-Martin Krolzig
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 364251684X
Size: 15.80 MB
Format: PDF, Mobi
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This book contributes to re cent developments on the statistical analysis of multiple time series in the presence of regime shifts. Markov-switching models have become popular for modelling non-linearities and regime shifts, mainly, in univariate eco nomic time series. This study is intended to provide a systematic and operational ap proach to the econometric modelling of dynamic systems subject to shifts in regime, based on the Markov-switching vector autoregressive model. The study presents a comprehensive analysis of the theoretical properties of Markov-switching vector autoregressive processes and the related statistical methods. The statistical concepts are illustrated with applications to empirical business cyde research. This monograph is a revised version of my dissertation which has been accepted by the Economics Department of the Humboldt-University of Berlin in 1996. It con sists mainly of unpublished material which has been presented during the last years at conferences and in seminars. The major parts of this study were written while I was supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschajt (DFG), Berliner Graduier tenkolleg Angewandte Mikroökonomik and Sondeiforschungsbereich 373 at the Free University and Humboldt-University of Berlin. Work was finally completed in the project The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Forecasting founded by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) at the Institute of Economies and Statistics, University of Oxford. It is a pleasure to record my thanks to these institutions for their support of my research embodied in this study.